Poll Analysis: Tiny Gains for McCain Today

Obama McCain 99.8% probability of winning 0.1% probability of winning Mean of 316 electoral votes Mean of 222 electoral votes Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 318 to 220 electoral votes. With seven new polls released today, Obama slips just a bit. After 100,000 simulated elections, Obama wins 99,839 times (plus he get the 33 ties),